IJM Land oh IJM Land

IJM Land  will be privatised by IJM Corp at an offer price of MYR3.55, to be satisfied via 20 sen cash and issuance of 0.5 new IJM Corp shares at MYR6.70. The offer price translates into 13-14x P/E and 1.7x P/BV, ie 12-15%  higher  than  industry  average  valuations  and  only  4%  below  our RNAV/share.  We  advise  investors  to  accept  the  offer.  In  view  of  the corporate exercise, we revise our FV to MYR4.15 (from MYR3.70).
  • MYR3.55  offer  price  for  IJM  Land.  IJM  Corp  (IJM  MK,  BUY,  FV: MYR7.90)  will  privatise  IJM  Land  at  an  offer  price  of  MYR3.55/share.This will be satisfied via 20 sen cash and issuance of  0.5 new  IJM Corp shares  at  MYR6.70/share.  The  key  reason  for  the  privatisation  was funding  limitations  that  IJM  Land  had  been  experiencing,  particularlywhen  undertaking  sizeable  property  projects.  Therefore,  by consolidating, IJM Land can leverage on IJM Corp’s balance sheet.  The acceptance of the offer will be by way of poll at an EGM, which will be convened  after  a  board meeting  and  the approval  for the clearance of explanatory  statement  by  the  Securities  Commission.  The  exercise  is expected to take about 6-7 months to complete.
  • Let it go. We advise investors to accept the offer. Although we will have one less large cap quality developer stock for sector picks, and investors will  need  to  buy  IJM  Corp  to  get  exposure  to  IJM  Land,  we  view  the valuations  of  the  exercise  as  fair.  The  offer  price  has  a  small  cash component  as  a  sweetener  and  is  just  4%  below  our  estimated RNAV/share of MYR3.70. At MYR3.55, this translates into  13-14x FY14-15 P/E, and 1.7x FY14 P/BV, about 12-15% above the industry average.Also,  although  slightly  lower  than  the  MYR3.65  offer  price  during  the proposed merger with Malaysian Resources Corp (MRC MK, BUY, FV: MYR1.82)  in  Nov  2010,  the  combination  of  cash/shares  offer  was  not determined then. The valuations multiples  at the time  were much higher at 25x P/E and 2.4x P/BV,  as it was during the sector upcycle and right at  the  onset  of  te  US’  quantitative  easing  programme.  The  deal subsequently fell through as an agreement on definitive terms  could not be reached.
  • Raised FV to MYR4.15. IJM Land has been our sector Top Pick. In light of the latest development, we now peg our valuations to our valuations of IJM Corp, which suggests a new  FV of MYR4.15 (0.5 of MYR7.90 plus 20 sen cash). Maintain BUY.  We now pick Sunway (SWB MK, BUY, FV: MYR3.60) as our Top Pick and new proxy to the local property sector.

Conditions to the privatisation offer
For the deal to go through, however, the following approval thresholds will need to be satisfied:

(i)  At least 75% in value of scheme shares (minority shares)
(ii)  50% or more in the number of shareholders
(iii)  Less than 10% shareholders voting against the resolution (in value of scheme shares)

Source: RHB